You must already know ...
Knowledge is power. Time is money. Commodities are essential.
If you want, you can leave here today having positioned yourself for all three: power, money, and the essentials.
Now tell me what matters? Tell me what matters most in the eyes of economists, analysts, traders, and financial planners?
What is THE epic battle being waged, right in front of us, in the financial markets?
There is no battle bigger right now. There is no resolution more sought after than this one. If you don’t know it, think about it.
It is inflation versus deflation.
And it is proof that economics is not easy. It never is. So be careful – there is a whole lot of “helpful” junk out there being peddled by some ... just so they can make a quick buck.
Yeah, you’ve heard it before ... so I will not exhaust the list of caveats for you again. Plus, I’m as interested in a buck as everyone else. But I want to earn it. I’m here to announce a relatively new service from BLACKSWAN, and I have to do everything I can to make you realize you are not buying in to the same old mumbo jumbo, and that I actually want to keep your business.
Boots on the ground research?
I know of guys who trot the globe to get the inside scoop on commodity-rich companies. That is all well and good. In fact, I’d expect that type of inspection if I were dishing out my hard-earned cash to buy shares of unknown mining companies that trade for mere pennies.
I actually received a promotional email a couple months ago from some outfit explaining why I should be buying into an upstart energy company set to go public at $0.50 a share. The email was loaded with company-specific details (besides the opportunity for me to turn $5,000 into $45,000 over a few short weeks. Wahhooooooo!!!)
But, overlooking the obvious sensationalism, how much of what was in that promotional email really matters?
I mean, in the grand scheme of things, when we’re talking about what is driving capital flow into and out of major asset classes, does that stuff really matter? Sure, it’s important to be aware of company-specific risks if you’re neck deep in shares of said companies. But what if you could mitigate the hassle of avoiding the riskiest companies and still capture pure commodity plays?
You can. And you can do so using an investment vehicle you probably already know a little something about.
No secrets here. No world-class trading models someone stumbled upon years ago that are ripe for windfall profits all of a sudden. No hidden exchanges accessible by only the biggest insiders you can only imagine. No classified strategies to ward of financial and economic Armageddon.
No.
I’m just talking about plain and simple (and perhaps boring) ETFs and ETNs.
More on those later because I’m starting to get a bit sidetracked ...
I already told you how important it is for you to know that what I am trying to sell you on today is not your run-of-the-mill commodities newsletter.
Why is this different?
Because I do not get caught up in the mundane. Because I certainly will not feed blindly at the trough of the consensus.
I aim to deliver what matters. Always. Period.
This is about a unique perspective. This is about digging in to the markets. This is about profitable ideas.
There is plenty of information out there. In fact, there is plenty of good information out there. This service is designed to collect the good information, sift through it, and deliver the information most useful in earning steady profits over time.
Sometimes I am in lock-step with the consensus. And sometimes the boring little details will actually make a difference. If there is one thing I have learned from the markets (which have taught me several lessons) it is not to fight price action.
In other words, I am naturally skeptical, but not stubbornly so.
A fundamental story can appear quite compelling. And believe me – fundamentals are critical to a grounded market perspective. But a good story can easily make a bad investment.
And how better a story can you get than THE story? Here it is; think about this ...
National Geographic recently began a series on population growth and its impact on planet Earth. Do you believe a growing global population will consume a growing amount of commodities and natural resources? Yes. Of course you do. You’d be crazy not to believe that.
For some, it is the plain and simple reason behind the idea of a commodities supercycle.
And the plain and simple investment that goes with it? Park your money in commodities.
Is it that easy?
You have probably heard it too many times to count - prices do not go in a straight line. There are ups and downs in every trend. The same is true even as commodities continue to play an absolutely vital role in human civilization. Assuming the “park your money in commodities” logic is consistent, I ask: what happens between now and that unknown point in time when prices catch up with fair value? Or better yet: will prices ever catch-up to fair value considering the forecast for population growth and what I will dub “strictly limited resources”?
EXACTLY – you have no idea. And neither do I.
But I am here to help you figure that out as it comes at us.
The commodities universe is growing wider every day. There are plenty of offerings to help investors try to accomplish whatever they want. There’s no denying the rage over commodities and hard assets – they are integral in driving industry and society ... forever. And investors want in.
Luckily, access to this market and its components is becoming easier and easier. Unfortunately, profiting from commodity price trends is not. Too often the one-way mindset is a destroyer of stable, conservative, risk-conscious investment returns. This is why I seek to bring a grounded perspective and a hunger for solid, actionable information to the table.
Back to the epic battle for a moment: inflation vs. deflation.
How can so many people expect one thing while so many others expect the complete opposite? Boy, I wish I knew. But my point here is to reiterate what I said before: most things are never as obvious as some people make them out to be. They never are.
What can you do about that?
Be smart. Find an approach to investing that gives you an edge ... that puts you in a position to succeed.
I cannot promise that my approach to the markets is right for you. I cannot promise that my advice will yield you profits over any given amount of time. I cannot promise that I will be able to pinpoint every single piece of critical information that influences commodity prices.
I can promise to deliver to you meaningful information and helpful ideas ... so that commodities can become an essential investment for you.
Why not BECOME A MEMBER now?
Ok, I understand -- you want a GUARANTEE ...
If for any reason Commodities Essential appeals to you, then give it a try.
Upon subscription, anytime within your first 30 days, if Commodities Essential no longer appeals to you, then dump it and we will refund your entire subscription fee. But seriously, this should not even be an issue for you if I do my job.
Also, if you cancel any time after the first thirty days, we will send a prorated refund.
Now, on to the essentials ...
Why commodities?
Because they are the basics of a sustainable civilization. They make the world go round. They keep the marketplace honest. And they are now easier to invest in than ever before.
But why invest in commodities?
They are assets, goods, resources that impact the entire world. Bear in mind, prices of commodities do not always go up. And over time the importance of some commodities may swell while others go by the wayside. But the value and exchange of commodities is essential to economics and life as we know it.
Of course, some of us would rather not bother with commodities -- let the market do what the market does and operate under those parameters. But more and more investors are learning the benefits of being proactive, and actively adding commodities investments to their portfolios.
There are a couple basic approaches: portfolio diversification, hedging, speculation. Most commodity players fall into one of these three categories. Success in each discipline requires knowledge and perspective. That is where I come in ...
I bring to you Commodities Essential, where I aim to deliver a steady stream of useful knowledge that makes investing in the commodities market feasible and profitable.
The Profit Trap
Any newsletter, any advisor, any financial expert looking to make a sale is going to claim profitability. Some will be more over the top than others; some will be so far over the top that they have lost sight of the reality. Regardless, profitability is always the number one goal where actual investing advice is involved.
What is most critical for both parties – the one in search of advice and the one providing advice – is that promises meet expectations. You have surely heard the marketing adage “under-promise and over-deliver.” Well, too often in this industry the actual promotional strategy becomes “over-promise” and thus there is no other possible avenue available but to “under-deliver” ... and usually miserably so.
This is why I will not bog you down (or pump you up) with hypothetical profit numbers. My promise is to execute a disciplined plan that produces profit over time. There will be times when I help you lose money; there will be times when I help you make money. A realistic goal is simply for me to help you win more than you lose and earn above-average profits.
Feasibility Analysis
As a kicker, I provide a unique and timely perspective on commodities that is hard to find anywhere else. And if you find it, chances are it comes with an unattractive price tag and without CliffsNotes.
I understand that I probably do not possess some superior IQ that offers only me the ability to understand commodities and markets. The fact is I do this for a living so you don’t have to. My time is spent collecting information that matters and crafting it in such a way that it makes sense.
So, for $395 per year you get very digestible information at a very attractive price.
Here is a sample issue of Commodities Essential. There are some basic sections included in each issue, every week:
Correlations
At Black Swan we sometimes talk about our three-pronged approach to investment analysis. The three prongs are as follows: fundamental, technical and sentiment analysis. Pretty much everyone knows what makes up the first two prongs. The third includes the correlations; they provide a look into what commodities and asset classes are popular, revealing important hints about capital flows. Monitoring the fluctuations and extremes in these correlations (and other sentiment indicators) give me a glimpse into market sentiment, which helps me further carve out an edge in my commodity investment decisions.
Futures Forecast
Each week I discuss our global macroeconomic perspective and how it relates to commodity prices, often times narrowing in on individual commodities. But I will not always discuss ALL commodities. This is why I provide a quick, tabular view of my outlook for the major commodities futures contracts, offering a three-month directional outlook and target price for each. This is adjusted as needed (i.e. not necessarily each week.) Additionally, audio/visual chart analysis and specific commentary on each commodity futures contract is accessible here. These recorded feeds are also updated as the individual forecast changes or develops.
Research, Commentary & Analysis
This is the meat of Commodities Essential. I discuss global macro trends, geopolitical developments, supply and demand fundamentals, positioning and prices. My research, my chart analysis, news and third-party analysis is brought together here. I do not recommendation anyone take my investment recommendations blindly. The content I provide in my research, commentary and analysis is designed to 1) support my investment recommendations and 2) help you validate (or invalidate) your own market analysis.
Portfolio
This is pretty straightforward. As I issue ideas and adjustments I will update the portfolio to reflect it.This will be included each week for reference purposes. A track record of closed positions will be available upon request.
Not Pictured: Investment Alerts, Special Reports, Webinars, Reader Response
First, there will be times outside of the regularly scheduled weekly publication when I want to add, cut or alter some of my recommended investments. Thus, I will issue investment alerts with the recommendation specifics and at least a brief explanation behind the decision.
Second, I will be penning special reports on occasion. The timing and release of these reports will depend entirely on the markets: specifically, developments in my global macro themes and the advent of new BIG ideas. These reports will be available for sale to the general public but will always first be provided free of charge to members of Commodities Essential.
Third, I will occasionally host webinars. Typically there will be two different varieties: members only and promotional. The former allows me to connect with current members by discussing my current market perspective and answering members' questions. The latter is a synopsis of my ideas which are aimed at attracting new members. Current members of Commodities Essential will be provided invitations to (and/or recordings of) all webinar events.
Fourth, there will be plenty of times when I am not clear about something, overly confident about something, or just plain wrong about something. In those cases, and others, I hope to hear from my readers. Often times, my readers can provide a perspective that I have not considered ... or an alternative I have not taken the liberty to share with my readers. I think everyone can benefit from some two-way discourse now and then. Thus, I welcome the reader response and feedback and always try to share the most thoughtful and useful of those comments. This supplements the Research, Commentary & Analysis section of the weekly publication.
The Sale
If for any reason Commodities Essential appeals to you, then give it a try.
Act now.