The Dollar Smile

Defining three majors scenarios that power US dollar trends.

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The dollar smile is a concept we first saw presented many years ago by former Morgan Stanley currency strategist Stephen Jen.

This simple tool allows you to more easily do what sometimes is very hard in the investment world: make a yes or no decision, i.e. “yes, I am going to make a trade,” or “no, I am not going to make a trade.”

Too much analysis leads to that very debilitating malady referred to as paralysis of analysis. It can be deadly ... and makes a nice, simple framework like the dollar smile so much more appealing ...

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Black Swan Capital's advisory products are strictly informational publications and do not provide personalized or individualized investment or trading advice. Commodity futures and forex trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for you. The money you allocate to futures or forex trading should be money that you can afford to lose.